The New York Times, NO. 12
An
authoritarian manipulates the law to stay in power. Trump has started to.
Authoritarians
change election rules to help their party, and they rewrite laws — or violate
their spirit — to ignore term limits.
Mr.
Trump’s biggest attempt to follow this playbook failed, when he was unable to
undo his election defeat to Joe Biden in 2020. But that effort showed Mr.
Trump’s willingness to break the law to remain in power.
In his
second term, he has shown worrisome signs of using his power to entrench the
Republican Party’s hold on the government. He has pressed Republicans to take gerrymandering to a new
extreme. He issued
an executive order in March that seeks to interfere with how states
run their elections.
These moves increase the chances that Republicans will keep control of Congress
even if most voters want to oust them.
Mr. Trump
has not taken concrete steps to remain in power for a third term, which the
22nd Amendment of the Constitution was written to forbid. He has alternated
between floating the idea and suggesting he understands
that he must leave the presidency for good on
Jan. 20, 2029.
The Bottom
Line
Even if he backs away from any scheme to serve more than two presidential
terms, Mr. Trump’s attempts to tilt the electoral field in favor of Republicans
is anti-democratic and could pervert American elections for years.
Started down the anti-democratic path
The
clearest sign that a democracy has died is that a leader and his party make it
impossible for their opponents to win an election and hold power. Once that
stage is reached, however, the change is extremely difficult to reverse. And
aspiring authoritarians use other excesses, like a cowed legislature and
judiciary, to lock in their power.
The United
States is not an autocracy today. It still has a mostly free press and
independent judiciary, and millions of Americans recently attended the “No
Kings” protests. But it has started down an anti-democratic path, and many
Americans — including people in positions of power — remain far too complacent
about the threat.
The 12
benchmarks in this editorial offer a way to understand and measure how much
further Mr. Trump goes in the months and years ahead. We plan to update this
index in 2026.
One of the
striking features of the present administration is the regularity with which
its leaders, from President Donald Trump on down, confidently describe the
state of the law in ways entirely contrary to what had been seen as settled, on
topics that range from flag burning to Congress’s TikTok ban to whether civil
servants can be removed on a partisan basis. Sometimes, these proclamations may
herald an effort to persuade courts to change prevailing doctrine, but at least as often they look more
like an
attempt to alter reality by establishing new legal facts on the ground.
On October
24, influential White House adviser Stephen Miller appeared on Fox News when
the issue of whether authorities in Illinois could prosecute misbehaving
federal immigration agents under state law arose. Miller responded, “To all ICE
officers: you have federal immunity in the conduct of your duties. And anybody
who lays a hand on you or tries to stop or obstruct you is committing a
felony.”
Whatever
that is, it is not an accurate description of the state of the law. As
Professor Steve Vladeck explains in this brief write-up, the actual rules are more
complicated. There is indeed a zone of so-called Supremacy Clause immunity that
will apply when “(1) the federal officer was performing an act that he was
authorized to do by federal law; and (2) in performing the authorized act, the
federal officer did no more than what was necessary and proper.” When either
condition is not satisfied—when the agent is taking an unauthorized action or
is acting under authorization but in a manner that exceeds what is necessary
and proper—the immunity based on federal supremacy ends.
As Vladeck
notes, the prevailing rule in this category of immunity was formulated by Judge
Michael McConnell, a conservative hero, and it does indeed allow state
prosecutors to use state law to pursue instances of misbehavior by ICE agents.
Here’s
another instance: in a piece at The Dispatch earlier this month, I tell
how high administration officials, including Department of Homeland Security
Secretary Kristi Noem and department spokeswoman Tricia McLaughlin, have
repeatedly spoken as if citizens have no right to photograph or video record
ICE raids or identify the officers by name. McLaughlin said, “Videotaping ICE
law enforcement and posting photos and videos of them online is doxing our
agents,” and added, “We will prosecute those who illegally harass ICE agents to
the fullest extent of the law.” Noem went even further, describing “violence” against DHS
agents as “anything that threatens them and their safety, so it is doxing them.
It is videotaping them where they’re at.”
In point of fact, however, the courts aren’t on board with that sort of nonsense. While the Supreme Court itself hasn’t yet faced the issue squarely, the seven federal circuits that have done so—the 1st, 3rd, 5th, 7th, 9th, 10th, and 11th—all agree that the First Amendment protects the right to record police performing their duties in public.* Those circuits cover such populous states as California, Texas, Florida, Illinois, New Jersey, Georgia, and Pennsylvania.
Here at
Cato we’ve had the honor of participating as amicus in at least three (that I
know of) of these circuit precedents: Fields v. City of Philadelphia at the Third Circuit in
2017, Adkins v. Department of Homeland
Security at
the Ninth Circuit in 2018, and Irizarry v. Yehia at the Tenth Circuit in 2022.
Adkins, the Ninth Circuit case, was especially interesting because it involved two
citizens arrested by Customs and Border Protection (CBP) for taking pictures at
a border crossing that they believed documented unlawful searches and other
problems; the agency, which had seized the men’s cameras and deleted their
pictures, asserted that the sidewalks they were standing on were property it
officially controlled, but it lost anyway. (Thanks to colleague Dan
Greenberg for helping compile the cases.)
To some
important extent, one of the audiences Noem and her department are seeking to
reach was the same one Miller was explicit in addressing: ICE agents
themselves. If the agents come to believe that they have blanket immunity
whatever they do, or that citizens have no right to record them, they are more
likely to take aggressive informal action, such as grabbing phones or taking
news reporters into custody on charges of obstruction (perhaps later quietly
dropped). These informal methods of repression, I observe, can very much set the tone for
enforcement, no matter whether the agency does or does not expect courts to say
later.
If the
agents are hearing a persistent message from their higher ups of “you’re immune
no matter what you do,” it’s up to the rest of us to disabuse them of that
error.
One of the
striking features of the present administration is the regularity with which
its leaders, from President Donald Trump on down, confidently describe the
state of the law in ways entirely contrary to what had been seen as settled, on
topics that range from flag burning to Congress’s TikTok ban to whether civil
servants can be removed on a partisan basis. Sometimes, these proclamations may
herald an effort to persuade courts to change prevailing doctrine, but at least as often they look more
like an
attempt to alter reality by establishing new legal facts on the ground.
On October
24, influential White House adviser Stephen Miller appeared on Fox News when
the issue of whether authorities in Illinois could prosecute misbehaving
federal immigration agents under state law arose. Miller responded, “To all ICE
officers: you have federal immunity in the conduct of your duties. And anybody
who lays a hand on you or tries to stop or obstruct you is committing a
felony.”
Whatever
that is, it is not an accurate description of the state of the law. As
Professor Steve Vladeck explains in this brief write-up, the actual rules are more
complicated. There is indeed a zone of so-called Supremacy Clause immunity that
will apply when “(1) the federal officer was performing an act that he was
authorized to do by federal law; and (2) in performing the authorized act, the
federal officer did no more than what was necessary and proper.” When either
condition is not satisfied—when the agent is taking an unauthorized action or
is acting under authorization but in a manner that exceeds what is necessary
and proper—the immunity based on federal supremacy ends.
As Vladeck
notes, the prevailing rule in this category of immunity was formulated by Judge
Michael McConnell, a conservative hero, and it does indeed allow state
prosecutors to use state law to pursue instances of misbehavior by ICE agents.
Here’s
another instance: in a piece at The Dispatch earlier this month, I tell
how high administration officials, including Department of Homeland Security
Secretary Kristi Noem and department spokeswoman Tricia McLaughlin, have
repeatedly spoken as if citizens have no right to photograph or video record
ICE raids or identify the officers by name. McLaughlin said, “Videotaping ICE
law enforcement and posting photos and videos of them online is doxing our
agents,” and added, “We will prosecute those who illegally harass ICE agents to
the fullest extent of the law.” Noem went even further, describing “violence” against DHS
agents as “anything that threatens them and their safety, so it is doxing them.
It is videotaping them where they’re at.”
In point of fact, however, the courts aren’t on board with that sort of nonsense. While the Supreme Court itself hasn’t yet faced the issue squarely, the seven federal circuits that have done so—the 1st, 3rd, 5th, 7th, 9th, 10th, and 11th—all agree that the First Amendment protects the right to record police performing their duties in public.* Those circuits cover such populous states as California, Texas, Florida, Illinois, New Jersey, Georgia, and Pennsylvania.
Here at
Cato we’ve had the honor of participating as amicus in at least three (that I
know of) of these circuit precedents: Fields v. City of Philadelphia at the Third Circuit in
2017, Adkins v. Department of Homeland
Security at
the Ninth Circuit in 2018, and Irizarry v. Yehia at the Tenth Circuit in 2022.
Adkins, the Ninth Circuit case, was especially interesting because it involved two
citizens arrested by Customs and Border Protection (CBP) for taking pictures at
a border crossing that they believed documented unlawful searches and other
problems; the agency, which had seized the men’s cameras and deleted their
pictures, asserted that the sidewalks they were standing on were property it
officially controlled, but it lost anyway. (Thanks to colleague Dan
Greenberg for helping compile the cases.)
To some
important extent, one of the audiences Noem and her department are seeking to
reach was the same one Miller was explicit in addressing: ICE agents
themselves. If the agents come to believe that they have blanket immunity
whatever they do, or that citizens have no right to record them, they are more
likely to take aggressive informal action, such as grabbing phones or taking
news reporters into custody on charges of obstruction (perhaps later quietly
dropped). These informal methods of repression, I observe, can very much set the tone for
enforcement, no matter whether the agency does or does not expect courts to say
later.
If the
agents are hearing a persistent message from their higher ups of “you’re immune
no matter what you do,” it’s up to the rest of us to disabuse them of that
error.
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